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NBA Finals Game 3 Insights and Tips

7 June 2023

The series is level at 1-1 heading back to Miami for a huge Game 3!

The stage is set for an enticing Game 3 of the NBA Finals, with the Miami Heat coming off a surprising upset win in Game 2. Jimmy Butler and his team now have their sights set on maintaining their series lead as they return home.

The Denver Nuggets, on the other hand, showed their resilience with a significant comeback in Game 2 but ultimately faltered in the fourth quarter. Their defense struggled against the Heat's zone and their composure wavered. Duncan Robinson took advantage of Denver's defensive lapses, making a strong impact with 10 points in the fourth quarter.


Game 3 Preview

As we look ahead to Game 3, it's challenging to predict the outcome considering the Heat's ability to defy expectations. The over-under for total points in Game 3 will depend on whether Denver can unleash their high-scoring offense, which has averaged 115.2 points per game in the playoffs. While most of Denver's road games this postseason have surpassed the total points line of 216.5, five of Miami's home playoff games have fallen short of that mark.

It's worth noting that five out of the last six games between these two teams have gone over the total points line, with Game 1 being the exception. Additionally, the over has hit in Denver's past three road games following a loss. However, considering that Game 1 went under and Game 2 was on track to do the same until Miami's fourth-quarter surge, there's a compelling case for a tighter defensive battle in Game 3.

Prediction: Total Points - Under 216.5


Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler of the Miami Heat will continue to be a key factor for his team. Despite not delivering a standout performance in Game 2, Butler's contributions in assists and rebounds remained steady. He has been averaging 20 points, 6.5 assists, and 7.1 rebounds per game since the Eastern Conference Finals. Butler has been particularly impressive at home during the playoffs, averaging 26 points per game. If Miami hopes to win Game 3, they will rely on Butler's impact in scoring, rebounding, and assisting.

Prediction: Jimmy Butler - 40+ points, rebounds, and assists


Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic, the talented center of the Denver Nuggets, had a remarkable scoring output in Game 2 with 41 points. However, Miami adjusted its defense to limit Jokic's passing opportunities, forcing him to create more for himself. In Game 3, Jokic will likely focus on involving his teammates and re-establishing his playmaking abilities. Throughout his recent games, Jokic has consistently recorded 12 or more assists, showcasing his passing skills. He has also achieved 50+ combined points, rebounds, and assists in 10 of his last 11 games.

Predictions: Nikola Jokic - 12+ assists, or

Nikola Jokic - Over 50.5+ Points, Rebounds, Assists


Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. of the Denver Nuggets struggled with his shooting in Game 2, going 3-of-17 from beyond the arc in the series so far. Additionally, his defensive effort and rebounding, which have fueled his offensive confidence throughout the playoffs, were lacking in Game 2. However, considering Porter Jr.'s previous performances, there is a good chance that he will bounce back and contribute more on both ends of the court. With his impressive 41.4% three-point shooting this season, his shot is likely to return, especially if he can stay engaged and focused.

Prediction: Michael Porter Jr. - 8+ rebounds


Game 3 Head to Head

In terms of the overall outcome, Game 3's result will largely depend on how Denver handles Miami's sharpshooters. The Heat's remarkable three-point shooting in Game 2, where they shot 49% from beyond the arc, indicates their ability to sustain their hot shooting throughout the playoffs. Although Miami ranked 27th in the NBA for three-point accuracy during the regular season, they have consistently displayed their shooting prowess in series against Milwaukee and Boston. However, Denver possesses the size on the perimeter to tighten their defensive coverages and limit Miami's shooting efficiency.

Prediction: Denver Nuggets -2


In summary, Game 3 of the NBA Finals promises to be a highly competitive matchup. Both teams have key players who can make significant contributions, and the strategies employed by each side will play a crucial role in determining the outcome. Fans can expect a battle on both ends of the court as the Miami Heat and the Denver Nuggets aim to gain the upper hand in this pivotal game.

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